Snedeker stuns Stanley in playoff

Golf Betting Lines

01/29/2012 - La Jolla, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brandt Snedeker stunned Kyle Stanley with a par on the second playoff hole to win the Farmers Insurance Open on Sunday.

Snedeker fired a five-under 67 to finish at 16-under-par 272. He seemingly was headed to a runner-up finish.

However, Stanley spun his third shot to the par-five 18th back into the water and that led to a triple-bogey, which closed a round of two-over 74. Stanley lost his three-stroke lead, and now faced extra holes with Snedeker.

The duo returned to the par-five 18th for the first playoff hole. Snedeker laid up out of a fairway bunker, then knocked his third to three feet.

Stanley found the fairway off the tee and hit his second over the green. He chipped his third to within inches of Snedeker's mark.

Both players rolled in their birdie putts on the 18th, then headed to the par- three 16th on the South Course at Torrey Pines.

Stanley, playing first, hit his tee ball to 47 feet. Snedeker blasted his tee ball over the green and was saved from a hazard as his ball hit the television tower behind the putting surface.

Snedeker took a drop away from the tower before chipping to four feet. Stanley left his birdie putt about four feet short.

After a measurement determined Snedeker was away, he sank his par putt. Stanley missed his par effort to give Snedeker his third PGA Tour title.

"I played good all week," Stanley said in a televised interview. "I'm kind of in shock though."

Snedeker was eight strokes back early in the final round, but forged a stellar rally. He also had the biggest comeback win in 2011 as he erased a six-stroke deficit at The Heritage.

"It's just crazy. I was literally in the media tent watching Kyle on 18, and I had to get up and go to the putting green," Snedeker said on television.

"To get my mind around what just happened in the last 30 minutes is pretty hard to do. I'm shaking right now I'm so excited. My heart goes out to Kyle because he really played great all week. I feel bad for him to have to go through this, but he'll be better for it, and hopefully win here pretty quick to get over this one."

John Rollins managed a one-under 71 Sunday to take third place at 14-under-par 274. Bill Haas (72) and Cameron Tringale (71) shared fourth at minus-12.

Hunter Mahan closed with a three-under 69 to end alongside John Huh (74) in sixth place at 11-under-par 277.

Stanley made the turn with a six-shot lead, but stumbled to bogeys on the 11th and 12th. Couple those bogeys with Snedeker's birdie on the par-five 13th, and Stanley's lead was down to three strokes.

The 24-year-old Stanley parred his next five holes. That run included several key par-saving putts, including a 13-footer on the 14th.

Snedeker stumbled to a bogey at the 17th, but rolled in an 11-foot birdie putt on the 18th to get in at minus-16.

Stanley was three clear on the 18th tee and his tee shot found the first cut. He laid up short with his second, then disaster struck. His third shot bounced pin high, but spun back off the front of the green and into the pond fronting the putting surface.

After taking a drop, Stanley's fifth stopped 43 feet past the cup. He lagged his bogey effort within four feet, but failed to convert that putt and it was off to a playoff.

Stanley led the John Deere Classic late in the final round last year, but he bogeyed the 18th to finish second to Steve Stricker, who birdied the final two holes.

NOTES: Snedeker, who earned $1.08 million for the win, matched the low round of the day with his 67...Bubba Watson, the 2011 champion, posted a one-under 71 to share 13th place at minus-nine...Mark Wilson, who won the Humana Challenge last week, will defend his title next week at the Phoenix Open.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.